Just by itself, Google has forced me to think about risk more than all of the other stocks I trade combined. I think that's a good thing?
1. SHORT the week of 2.26.07 at $438.68. The stop was $510.33, so the initial risk (R) on the trade was $71.65. Stopped out and reversed to long at $500.40 the week of 5.29.07. The percentage loss on the trade was -12.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$61.72/$71.65 = -0.86.
2. LONG the week of 5.29.07 at $500.40. Using $443.10 for a stop, R = $57.30. Stopped out and reversed to short at $566.40 the week of 1.22.08. The percentage gain on the trade was 13.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $66.00/$57.30 = 1.15.
3. SHORT the week of 1.22.08 at $500.40. With the stop set at $717.94 the R was $151.54. Stopped out and reversed to long at $581.29 the week of 4.28.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -2.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$14.89/$151.54 = -0.10.
4. LONG the week of 4.28.08 at $581.29. The stop was $431.29, so R = $149.60. Stopped out and reversed to short at $463.29 the week of 8.25.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -20.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$118.00/$149.60 = -0.79.
5. SHORT the week of 8.25.08 at $463.29. With $566.50 for a stop the R on the trade was $103.21. Stopped out and reversed to long at $369.78 the week of 3.30.09. The percentage gain on the trade was 25.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $93.51/$103.21 = 0.91.
1. SHORT the week of 2.26.07 at $438.68. The stop was $510.33, so the initial risk (R) on the trade was $71.65. Stopped out and reversed to long at $500.40 the week of 5.29.07. The percentage loss on the trade was -12.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$61.72/$71.65 = -0.86.
2. LONG the week of 5.29.07 at $500.40. Using $443.10 for a stop, R = $57.30. Stopped out and reversed to short at $566.40 the week of 1.22.08. The percentage gain on the trade was 13.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $66.00/$57.30 = 1.15.
3. SHORT the week of 1.22.08 at $500.40. With the stop set at $717.94 the R was $151.54. Stopped out and reversed to long at $581.29 the week of 4.28.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -2.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$14.89/$151.54 = -0.10.
4. LONG the week of 4.28.08 at $581.29. The stop was $431.29, so R = $149.60. Stopped out and reversed to short at $463.29 the week of 8.25.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -20.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$118.00/$149.60 = -0.79.
5. SHORT the week of 8.25.08 at $463.29. With $566.50 for a stop the R on the trade was $103.21. Stopped out and reversed to long at $369.78 the week of 3.30.09. The percentage gain on the trade was 25.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $93.51/$103.21 = 0.91.
6. LONG the week of 3.30.09 at $369.78. The stop was $269.70, so that means R was $100.08. Stopped out and reversed to short the week of 1.19.10 at $550.01. The percentage gain on this trade was 48.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $180.23/$100.08 = 1.80.
7. SHORT the week of 1.19.10 at $550.01. The stop was $631.14, so the R was $81.13. Stopped out and reversed to long at $527.29 the week of 9.20.10. The percentage gain on this trade was 4.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $22.72/$81.13 = 0.28.
8. LONG the week of 9.20.10 at $527.29. The stop was $447.16, so R = $80.13. Stopped out and reversed to short (by just $0.66!) at $561.06 the week of 3.14.11. The percentage gain on the trade was 6.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $33.77/$80.13 = 0.42.
9. SHORT the week of 3.14.11 at $561.06. With the stop set at $631.23 the R was $70.17. Closed last week at $591.80 with a $632.92 stop. The percentage loss on the trade is -5.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$30.74/$70.17 = -0.44.
7. SHORT the week of 1.19.10 at $550.01. The stop was $631.14, so the R was $81.13. Stopped out and reversed to long at $527.29 the week of 9.20.10. The percentage gain on this trade was 4.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $22.72/$81.13 = 0.28.
8. LONG the week of 9.20.10 at $527.29. The stop was $447.16, so R = $80.13. Stopped out and reversed to short (by just $0.66!) at $561.06 the week of 3.14.11. The percentage gain on the trade was 6.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $33.77/$80.13 = 0.42.
9. SHORT the week of 3.14.11 at $561.06. With the stop set at $631.23 the R was $70.17. Closed last week at $591.80 with a $632.92 stop. The percentage loss on the trade is -5.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$30.74/$70.17 = -0.44.
Scorecard:
Winning Trades: 5 | 55.6% | $79.25/share avg.
Losing Trades: 4 | 44.4% | -$56.34/share avg.
Average Trade: Gain of 6.4% | $18.99/share | Reward-to-Risk Ratio (R): 0.26
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