Sunday, April 17, 2011

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU)

1. LONG the week of 5.8.06 at $7.85. Using a $4.98 stop, the initial risk (R) on the trade was $2.87. Stopped out and reversed to short (by just $0.01!) at $9.57 the week of 3.12.07. The percentage gain on the trade was 21.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $1.72/$2.87 = 0.60. 



2. SHORT the week of 3.12.07 at $9.57. With the stop at $12.46 the R was $2.89. Stopped out and reversed to long at $12.46 the week of 4.23.07. The percentage loss on the trade was -30.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$2.89/$2.89 = -1.00. 

3. LONG the week of 4.23.07 at $12.46. The stop was $9.00, so R = $3.46. Stopped out and reversed to short the week of 1.14.08 (this time by $0.09!) at $27.30. The percentage gain on the trade was 119.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $14.84/$3.46 = 4.29.

4. SHORT the week of 1.14.08 at $27.30. With the stop set at $42.91 the R was $15.61. Stopped out and reversed to long at $36.37 the week of 4.21.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -33.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$9.07/$15.61 = -0.58.

5. LONG the week of 4.21.08 at $36.37. The stop was $22.49, so R = $13.88. Stopped out and reversed to short at $22.24 the week of 9.29.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -38.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$14.13/$13.88 = -1.02.

6. SHORT the week of 9.29.08 at $22.24. With a $34.59 stop the R on the trade was $12.35. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 3.23.09 at $18.32. The percentage gain on the trade was 17.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $3.92/$12.35 = 0.32.

7. LONG the week of 3.23.09 at $18.32.  The stop was $11.34, so R = $6.98. Closed at $146.81 last week with a $115.48 stop. The percentage gain on this trade is 701.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is $128.49/$6.98 = 18.41.

Scorecard:
Winning Trades: 4 | 57.1% | $37.24/share avg.
Losing Trades: 3 | 42.9% | -$8.70/share avg.
Average Trade: Gain of 108.2% | $17.55/share | Reward-to-Risk Ratio (R): 3.00

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