Thursday, April 28, 2011

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)

1. SHORT the week of 4.18.05 at $8.58. Using $12.66 for my stop, the initial risk (R) on the trade was $4.08. Stopped out and reversed to long at $10.12 the week of 12.5.05. The percentage loss on the trade was -17.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$1.54/$4.08 = -0.38.



2. LONG the week of 12.5.05 at $10.12. With the stop set at $6.91 the R was $3.21. Stopped out and reversed to short the week of 2.25.08 at $36.88. The percentage gain on the trade was 264.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $26.76/$3.21 = 8.34.

3. SHORT the week of 2.25.08 at $36.88. The stop was $53.65, so R = $16.77. Stopped out and reversed to long (by just $0.01!!!) at $46.52 the week of 6.16.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -26.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$9.64/$16.77 = -0.57.

4. LONG the week of 6.16.08 at $46.52. With $33.52 for my stop the risk on the trade was $13.00. Stopped out and reversed to short at $29.70 the week of 9.29.08. The percentage loss on the trade was -36.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$16.82/$13.00 = -1.29.

5. SHORT the week of 9.29.08 at $29.70.  The stop was $44.81, so that means R was $15.11. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 6.8.09 at $23.80. The percentage gain on the trade was 19.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $5.90/$15.11 = 0.39.

6. LONG the week of 6.8.09 at $23.80. My stop was $15.11, so my R was $8.69. Closed last week at $96.11 with a $72.32 stop. The percentage gain on this trade is 303.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is $72.31/$8.69 = 8.32.

Bottom Line:
Winning Trades: 3 | 50.0% | $34.99/share avg.
Losing Trades: 3 | 50.0% | -$9.33/share avg.
Average Trade: Gain of 84.6% | $12.83/share | Reward-to-Risk Ratio (R): 2.47

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