Sunday, April 28, 2013

Zynga (ZNGA)

BUY signal the week of 2.4.13 at $3.43. My first stop was $2.20, so my risk (R)/share was $1.23. Closed Friday at $3.35 with a $2.47 stop. My new stop for this week is $2.46. The percentage loss on this trade is -2.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$0.08/$1.23 = -0.06.

History (beginning in 2013):
Winning Trades: 0 | 0.0% | +$0.00/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 100.0% | -$0.08/share avg.
Average Trade: -2.3% | -$0.08/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): -0.06
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): -10.6% 
Alpha% (weekly): -0.47%

Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (1 trade): 11
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): -0.09%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.39%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation):0.98
Alpha (calculation): -0.47%

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