Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Ctrip.com International Ltd. (CTRP)

1. LONG the week of 6.14.04 at $4.25. The stop was $2.96, so that means the initial risk (R) on the trade was just $1.29. Stopped out and reversed to short at $4.72 the week of 2.14.05. The percentage gain on the trade was 11.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $0.47/$2.96 = 0.37.



2. SHORT the week of 2.14.05 at $4.72. With the stop set at $6.51 the R was $1.79. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 5.23.05 at $6.11. The percentage loss on the trade was -29.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$1.39/$1.79 = -0.78.

3. LONG the week of 5.23.05 at $6.11. The stop was $4.64, so R = $1.47. Stopped out and reversed to short at $23.68 the week of 6.16.08. The percentage gain on the trade was 287.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $17.57/$1.47 = 11.94.

4. SHORT the week of 6.16.08 at $23.68. Using $32.17 for a stop, the R was $8.49. Stopped out and reversed to long at $15.87 the week of 4.20.09. The percentage gain on the trade was 33.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $7.81/$8.49 = 0.92.

5. LONG the week of 4.20.09 at $15.87. My stop was $10.74, so the R = $5.13. Stopped out and reversed to short at $39.49 the week of 2.14.11. The percentage gain on the trade was 148.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $23.62/$5.13 = 4.60.

6. SHORT the week of 2.14.11 at $39.49. With the stop set at $50.64 the R was $11.15. Closed last week at $45.70, just $0.56 below my $46.26 stop. The percentage loss on this trade is -27.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$6.21/$11.15 = -0.56.

Scorecard:
Winning Trades: 4 | 66.7% | $12.37/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 33.3% | -$3.80/share avg.
Average Trade: Gain of 70.6% | $6.98/share | Reward-to-Risk Ratio (R): 2.75

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