Sunday, March 18, 2012

Cimarex Energy (XEC)

BUY signal the week of 2.13.12 at $82.78. My first stop was $61.20, so my risk (R)/share was $21.58. Closed Friday at $81.66 with a $66.07 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $67.55. The percentage loss on this trade is -1.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$1.12/$21.58 = -0.05.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 60.0% | +$31.96/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 40.0% | -$2.15/share avg.
Average Trade: +66.5% | +$18.31/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.50

VMWare (VMW)

BUY signal the week of 2.13.12 at $99.11. My first stop was $79.48, so my risk (R)/share was $19.63. Closed Friday at $107.11 with an $84.03 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $88.48. The percentage gain on this trade is +8.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$8.00/$19.63 = +0.41.

History (beginning in 2007):
Winning Trades: 2 | 66.7% | +$26.06/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 33.3% | -$20.05/share avg.
Average Trade: +43.7% | +$10.69/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.19

Starbucks (SBUX)

BUY signal the week of 4.6.09 at $11.75. My first stop was $7.82, so my risk (R)/share was $3.93. Closed Friday at $53.21 with a $46.00 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $47.17. The percentage gain on this trade is +352.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$41.46/$3.93 = +10.54.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 2 | 50.0% | +$22.25/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 50.0% | -$4.31/share avg.
Average Trade: +84,4% | +$8.97/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.49

Riverbed Technology (RVBD)

BUY signal the week of 1.17.12 at $28.63. My first stop was $19.82, so my risk (R)/share was $8.81. Closed Friday at $27.63 with a $20.73 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $21.18. The percentage loss on this trade is -3.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$1.00/$8.81 = -0.11.

History (beginning in 2006):
Winning Trades: 1 | 50.0% | +$23.95/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 50.0% | -$1.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +148.3% | +$11.48/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.63

Rackspace Hosting (RAX)

BUY signal the week of 12.5.11 at $44.02. My first stop was $32.97, so my risk (R)/share was $11.05. Closed Friday at $56.42 with a $42.07 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $43.84. The percentage gain on this trade is +28.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$12.40/$11.05 = +1.12.

History (beginning in 2008):
Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$10.84/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +62.0% | +$10.84/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.92

Precision Castparts (PCP)

BUY signal the week of 9.13.10 at $126.68. My first stop was $103.19, so my risk (R)/share was $23.49. Closed Friday at $175.53 with a $152.74 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $154.12. The percentage gain on this trade is +38.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$48.85/$23.49 = +2.08.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$60.63/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +208.8% | +$60.63/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +13.34

Priceline (PCLN)

BUY signal the week of 2.13.12 at $582.52. My first stop was $483.98, so my risk (R)/share was $98.54. Closed Friday at $675.50 with a $547.03 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $575.83. The percentage gain on this trade is +16.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$92.98/$98.54 = +0.94.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 71.4% | +$87.18/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 28.6% | -$5.52/share avg.
Average Trade: +74.9% | +$60.69/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.56

OpenTable (OPEN)

BUY signal the week of 1.30.12 at $52.00. My first stop was $35.77, so my risk (R)/share was $16.23. Closed Friday at $40.39 with a $36.02 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $36.69. The percentage loss on this trade is -22.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$11.61/$23.63 = -0.72.

History (beginning in 2009):
Winning Trades: 1 | 50.0% | +$48.30/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 50.0% | -$11.61/share avg.
Average Trade: +66.5% | +$18.35/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.90

Netflix (NFLX)

BUY signal the week of 1.23.12 at $123.79. My first stop was $73.35, so my risk (R)/share was $50.44. Closed Friday at $109.96 with an $83.83 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $86.14. The percentage loss on this trade is -11.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$13.83/$50.44 = -0.27.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 60.0% | +$63.33/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 40.0% | -$9.36/share avg.
Average Trade: +129.8% | +$34.26/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.75

Mastercard (MA)

BUY signal the week of 10.18.10 at $242.64. My first stop was $202.75, so my risk (R)/share was $39.89. Closed Friday at $420.17 with a $358.23 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $363.64. The percentage gain on this trade is +73.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$177.53/$39.89 = +4.45.

History (beginning in 2006):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$79.83/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$35.79/share avg.
Average Trade: +45.4% | +$56.70/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.27

Lululemon (LULU)

BUY signal the week of 3.30.09 at $5.10 (2:1 split adjusted). My first stop was $2.29, so my risk (R)/share was $2.81. Closed Friday at $72.04 with a $56.91 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $57.79. The percentage gain on this trade is +1,312.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$66.94/$2.81 = +23.79.

History (beginning in 2007):
Winning Trades: 1 | 100.0% | +$66.94/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.0/share avg.
Average Trade: +1,312.5% | +$66.94/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +23.79

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)

BUY signal the week of 1.18.11 at $326.58. My first stop was $259.28, so my risk (R)/share was $67.30. Closed Friday at $529.74 with a $455.29 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $466.46. The percentage gain on this trade is +62.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$203.16/$67.30 = +3.02.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$140.03/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$34.90/share avg.
Average Trade: +169.9% | +$105.04/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +4.56

F5 Networks (FFIV)

BUY signal the week of 10.24.11 at $107.63. My first stop was $73.46, so my risk (R)/share was $34.17. Closed Friday at $131.91 with a $104.37 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $108.07. The percentage gain on this trade is +22.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$24.28/$34.17 = +0.71.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 60.0% | +$38.10/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 40.0% | -$3.08/share avg.
Average Trade: +66.7% | +$21.63/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.18

Diamond Offshore (DO)

BUY signal the week of 2.21.12 at $67.19. My first stop was $56.84, so my risk (R)/share was $10.35. Closed Friday at $72.43 with a $59.83 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $61.72. The percentage gain on this trade is +7.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$5.24/$10.35 = +0.51.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$19.14/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$8.33/share avg.
Average Trade: +54.4% | +$13.64/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.30

Citrix Systems (CTXS)

BUY signal the week of 10.24.11 at $73.37. My first stop was $49.74, so my risk (R)/share was $23.63. Closed Friday at $78.20 with a $61.02 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $63.37. The percentage gain on this trade is +6.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$4.83/$23.63 = +0.20.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 100.0% | +$11.78/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +44.9% | +$11.78/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.70

Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH)

BUY signal the week of 10.24.11 at $75.67. My first stop was $55.98, so my risk (R)/share was $19.69. Closed Friday at $76.91 with a $65.80 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $66.29. The percentage gain on this trade is +1.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$1.24/$19.69 = +0.06.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$17.33/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +88.0% | +$17.33/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.23

Salesforce.com (CRM)

BUY signal the week of 2.21.12 at $143.64. My first stop was $108.52, so my risk (R)/share was $35.12. Closed Friday at $151.39 with a $115.28 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $120.01. The percentage gain on this trade is +5.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$7.75/$35.12 = +0.22.

History (beginning in 2004):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$28.00/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$0.67/share avg.
Average Trade: +64.4% | +$22.26/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.86

Cummins (CMI)

BUY signal the week of 1.17.12 at $104.78. My first stop was $82.00, so my risk (R)/share was $22.78. Closed Friday at $127.54 with a $101.93 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $105.08. The percentage gain on this trade is +21.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$22.76/$22.78 = +1.00.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 6 | 100.0% | +$18.35/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +67.2% | +$18.35/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.75

CME Group (CME)

BUY signal the week of 2.6.12 at $291.59. My first stop was $234.34, so my risk (R)/share was $57.25. Closed Friday at $289.45 with a $246.28 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $241.71. The percentage loss on this trade is -0.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$2.14/$57.25 = -0.04.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 71.4% | +$82.42/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 28.6% | -$34.32/share avg.
Average Trade: +38.4% | +$49.07/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.00

CF Industries (CF)

BUY signal the week of 1.9.12 at $172.55. My first stop was $125.48, so my risk (R)/share was $47.07. Closed Friday at $184.21 with a $144.05 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $146.72. The percentage gain on this trade is +6.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$11.66/$47.07 = +0.25.

History (beginning in 2005):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$33.96/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +119.2% | +$33.96/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.86

Caterpillar (CAT)

BUY signal the week of 1.3.12 at $95.76. My first stop was $75.13, so my risk (R)/share was $20.63. Closed Friday at $113.58 with a $98.35 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $98.48. The percentage gain on this trade is +18.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$17.82/$20.63 = +0.86.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 6 | 85.7% | +$18.08/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 14.3% | -$6.62/share avg.
Average Trade: +38.4% | +$14.55/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.52

Boeing (BA)

BUY signal the week of 12.19.11 at $73.97. My first stop was $59.80, so my risk (R)/share was $14.17. Closed Friday at $75.20 with a $68.70 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $68.67. The percentage gain on this trade is +1.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$1.23/$14.17 = +0.09.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$14.91/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +42.7% | +$14.91/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.03

Aruba Networks (ARUN)

BUY signal the week of 1.30.12 at $23.86. My first stop was $16.44, so my risk (R)/share was $7.42. Closed Friday at $23.62 with a $16.79 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $17.07. The percentage loss on this trade is -1.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$0.24/$7.42 = -0.03.

History (beginning in 2007):
Winning Trades: 1 | 33.3% | +$19.68/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 66.7% | -$1.23/share avg.
Average Trade: +147.0% | +$5.74/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.33

Akamai Technologies (AKAM)

BUY signal the week of 10.31.11 at $29.82. My first stop was $19.72, so my risk (R)/share was $10.10. Closed Friday at $37.36 with a $31.12 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $31.63. The percentage gain on this trade is +25.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$7.54/$10.10 = +0.75.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 66.7% | +$16.60/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 33.3% | -$8.90/share avg.
Average Trade: +120.0% | +$8.10/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.60

Apple (AAPL)

BUY signal the week of 3.30.09 at $115.99. My first stop was $84.39, so my risk (R)/share was $31.60. Closed Friday at $585.57 with a $467.11 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $495.15. The percentage gain on this trade is 404.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is $469.58/$31.60 = 14.86.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$195.11/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$12.10/share avg.
Average Trade: +269.6% | +$143.31/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +10.94