I'm already short CME Group, Google, Mosaic, Cimarex Energy, F5 Networks, Transocean, Research In Motion, and Akamai Technologies, and by the end of the day I'll be adding Cummins to that list.
Riverbed Technology, Baidu, Aruba Networks, and Caterpillar might not be far behind.
Riverbed Technology, Baidu, Aruba Networks, and Caterpillar might not be far behind.
1. LONG the week of 5.19.03 at $7.05. My stop was $5.60, so the initial risk (R) on the trade was $1.45. Stopped out and reversed to short at $16.39 the week of 3.28.05. The percentage gain on the trade was 132.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $9.34/$1.45 = 6.45.
2. SHORT the week of 3.28.05 at $16.39. Using $19.08 for a stop, R = $2.69. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 7.11.05 at $18.20. The percentage loss on the trade was -11.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$1.81/$2.69 = -0.67.
3. LONG the week of 7.11.05 at $18.20. With the stop set at $15.57 the R was $2.63. Stopped out and reversed to short at $18.25 the week of 10.17.05. The percentage gain on the trade was 0.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $0.05/$2.63 = 0.02.
4. SHORT the week of 10.17.05 at $18.25. The stop was $21.25, so my risk was $3.00. Stopped out and reversed to long at $21.09 the week of 11.28.05. The percentage loss on the trade was -15.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$2.84/$3.00 = -0.95.
5. LONG the week of 11.28.05 at $21.09. With $18.44 for my stop the R on the trade was $2.65. Stopped out and reversed to short the week of 1.3.07 at $27.50. The percentage gain on the trade was 30.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $6.41/$2.65 = 2.42.
2. SHORT the week of 3.28.05 at $16.39. Using $19.08 for a stop, R = $2.69. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 7.11.05 at $18.20. The percentage loss on the trade was -11.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$1.81/$2.69 = -0.67.
3. LONG the week of 7.11.05 at $18.20. With the stop set at $15.57 the R was $2.63. Stopped out and reversed to short at $18.25 the week of 10.17.05. The percentage gain on the trade was 0.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $0.05/$2.63 = 0.02.
4. SHORT the week of 10.17.05 at $18.25. The stop was $21.25, so my risk was $3.00. Stopped out and reversed to long at $21.09 the week of 11.28.05. The percentage loss on the trade was -15.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$2.84/$3.00 = -0.95.
5. LONG the week of 11.28.05 at $21.09. With $18.44 for my stop the R on the trade was $2.65. Stopped out and reversed to short the week of 1.3.07 at $27.50. The percentage gain on the trade was 30.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $6.41/$2.65 = 2.42.
6. SHORT the week of 1.3.07 at $27.50. The stop was $31.35, so that means R was $3.85. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 1.29.07 at $33.01. The percentage loss on the trade was -20.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$5.51/$3.85 = -1.43.
7. LONG the week of 1.29.07 at $33.01. My stop was $28.06, so my R was $4.95. Stopped out and reversed to short at $44.32 the week of 9.22.08. The percentage gain on the trade was 34.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $11.31/$4.95 = 2.28.
8. SHORT the week of 9.22.08 at $44.32. The initial stop was $71.90, so R = $27.58. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 4.20.09 at $32.66. The percentage gain on the trade was 26.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $11.66/$27.58 = 0.42.
9. LONG the week of 4.20.09 at $32.66. With the stop set at $18.82 the R was $13.84. Closed last week at $101.40 with a $97.42 stop. The percentage gain on this trade is (was) 210.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is (was) $68.74/$13.84 = 4.97.
7. LONG the week of 1.29.07 at $33.01. My stop was $28.06, so my R was $4.95. Stopped out and reversed to short at $44.32 the week of 9.22.08. The percentage gain on the trade was 34.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $11.31/$4.95 = 2.28.
8. SHORT the week of 9.22.08 at $44.32. The initial stop was $71.90, so R = $27.58. Stopped out and reversed to long the week of 4.20.09 at $32.66. The percentage gain on the trade was 26.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was $11.66/$27.58 = 0.42.
9. LONG the week of 4.20.09 at $32.66. With the stop set at $18.82 the R was $13.84. Closed last week at $101.40 with a $97.42 stop. The percentage gain on this trade is (was) 210.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is (was) $68.74/$13.84 = 4.97.
Bottom Line:
Winning Trades: 6 | 66.7% | $17.92/share avg.
Losing Trades: 3 | 33.3% | -$3.39/share avg.
Average Trade: Gain of 43.1% | $10.82/share | Reward-to-Risk Ratio (R): 1.50
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