Zynga (ZNGA)

BUY signal the week of 2.4.13 at $3.43. My first stop was $2.20, so my risk (R)/share was $1.23. Closed Friday at $3.35 with a $2.47 stop. My new stop for this week is $2.46. The percentage loss on this trade is -2.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$0.08/$1.23 = -0.06.

History (beginning in 2013):

Winning Trades: 0 | 0.0% | +$0.00/share avg.

Losing Trades: 1 | 100.0% | -$0.08/share avg.

Average Trade: -2.3% | -$0.08/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): -0.06
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): -10.6% 
Alpha% (weekly): -0.47%

Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (1 trade): 11
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): -0.09%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.39%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation):0.98
Alpha (calculation): -0.47%

Precision Castparts (PCP)

BUY signal the week of 9.13.10 at $126.68. My first stop was $103.19, so my risk (R)/share was $23.49. Closed Friday at $187.47 with a $173.59 stop. My new stop for this week is $173.83. The percentage gain on this trade is +48.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$60.79/$23.49 = +2.59.

History (beginning in 2003):

Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$64.61/share avg.

Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.

Average Trade: +212.0% | +$64.61/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +13.51
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): +31.6%
Alpha% (weekly): +0.45%

Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (3 trades): 423
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): +0.69%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.21%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation): 1.16
Alpha (calculation): +0.45%

Mastercard (MA)

BUY signal the week of 10.18.10 at $242.64. My first stop was $202.75, so my risk (R)/share was $39.89. Closed Friday at $535.33 with a $489.16 stop. My new stop for this week is $487.92. The percentage gain on this trade is +120.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$292.69/$39.89 = +7.34.

History (beginning in 2006):

Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$108.62/share avg.

Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$35.79/share avg.

Average Trade: +54.9% | +$79.73/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.85
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): +31.2%
Alpha% (weekly): +0.67%

Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (5 trades): 266
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): +0.81%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.12%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation): 1.15
Alpha (calculation): +0.67%

LinkedIn (LNKD)

BUY signal the week of 1.7.13 at $118.00. My first stop was $96.40, so my risk (R)/share was $21.60. Closed Friday at $187.76 with a $148.56 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $147.87. The percentage gain on this trade is +59.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$69.76/$21.60 = +3.23.

History (beginning in 2013):

Winning Trades: 1 | 100.0% | +$69.76/share avg.

Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.

Average Trade: +59.1% | +$69.76/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.23
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): +400.4%
Alpha% (weekly): +2.38%

Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (1 trade): 15
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): +3.33%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.49%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation): 1.93
Alpha (calculation): +2.38%

Facebook (FB)

BUY signal the week of 11.26.12 at $28.00. My first stop was $19.07, so my risk (R)/share was $8.93. Closed Friday at $26.85 with a $25.48 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $25.55. The percentage loss on this trade is -4.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$1.15/$8.93 = -0.13.

History (beginning in 2012):

Winning Trades: 0 | 0.0% | +$0.00/share avg.

Losing Trades: 1 | 100.0% | -$1.15/share avg.

Average Trade: -4.1% | -$1.15/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): -0.13
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): -9.9%
Alpha% (weekly): -0.86%

Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (1 trade): 21
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): -0.07%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.54%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation): 1.46
Alpha (calculation): -0.86%

Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

BUY signal the week of 2.4.13 at $43.56. My first stop was $29.97, so my risk (R)/share was $13.59. Closed Friday at $54.31 with a $46.46 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $45.34. The percentage gain on this trade is +24.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$10.75/$13.59 = +0.79.

History (beginning in 2005):

Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$29.76/share avg.

Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$16.82/share avg.

Average Trade: +117.6% | +$18.12/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.45
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): +35.0%
Alpha% (weekly): +0.86%
 
Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (4 trades): 275
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): +1.02%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.10%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation): 1.62
Alpha (calculation): +0.86%

Crocs (CROX)

BUY signal the week of 2.19.13 at $15.43. My first stop was $12.46, so my risk (R)/share was $2.97. Closed Friday at $15.93 with a $12.98 stop. My new stop for this week is $12.73. The percentage gain on this trade is +3.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$0.50/$2.97 = +0.17.

History (beginning in 2006):

Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$13.77/share avg.

Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$5.43/share avg.

Average Trade: +156.7% | +$8.97/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.73
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): +44.8%
Alpha% (weekly): +1.35%

Alpha calculations:
Total # of weeks (4 trades): 199
Mean Trade Returns (weekly): +1.69%
Mean S&P 500 Returns (weekly): +0.20%
Risk-Free Rate (baseline assumption): 0.0%
Beta (calculation): 1.69
Alpha (calculation): +1.35%