Sunday, March 18, 2012

CME Group (CME)

BUY signal the week of 2.6.12 at $291.59. My first stop was $234.34, so my risk (R)/share was $57.25. Closed Friday at $289.45 with a $246.28 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $241.71. The percentage loss on this trade is -0.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$2.14/$57.25 = -0.04.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 71.4% | +$82.42/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 28.6% | -$34.32/share avg.
Average Trade: +38.4% | +$49.07/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.00

CF Industries (CF)

BUY signal the week of 1.9.12 at $172.55. My first stop was $125.48, so my risk (R)/share was $47.07. Closed Friday at $184.21 with a $144.05 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $146.72. The percentage gain on this trade is +6.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$11.66/$47.07 = +0.25.

History (beginning in 2005):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$33.96/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +119.2% | +$33.96/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.86

Caterpillar (CAT)

BUY signal the week of 1.3.12 at $95.76. My first stop was $75.13, so my risk (R)/share was $20.63. Closed Friday at $113.58 with a $98.35 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $98.48. The percentage gain on this trade is +18.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$17.82/$20.63 = +0.86.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 6 | 85.7% | +$18.08/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 14.3% | -$6.62/share avg.
Average Trade: +38.4% | +$14.55/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.52

Boeing (BA)

BUY signal the week of 12.19.11 at $73.97. My first stop was $59.80, so my risk (R)/share was $14.17. Closed Friday at $75.20 with a $68.70 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $68.67. The percentage gain on this trade is +1.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$1.23/$14.17 = +0.09.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$14.91/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +42.7% | +$14.91/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.03

Aruba Networks (ARUN)

BUY signal the week of 1.30.12 at $23.86. My first stop was $16.44, so my risk (R)/share was $7.42. Closed Friday at $23.62 with a $16.79 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $17.07. The percentage loss on this trade is -1.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$0.24/$7.42 = -0.03.

History (beginning in 2007):
Winning Trades: 1 | 33.3% | +$19.68/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 66.7% | -$1.23/share avg.
Average Trade: +147.0% | +$5.74/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.33

Akamai Technologies (AKAM)

BUY signal the week of 10.31.11 at $29.82. My first stop was $19.72, so my risk (R)/share was $10.10. Closed Friday at $37.36 with a $31.12 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $31.63. The percentage gain on this trade is +25.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$7.54/$10.10 = +0.75.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 66.7% | +$16.60/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 33.3% | -$8.90/share avg.
Average Trade: +120.0% | +$8.10/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.60

Apple (AAPL)

BUY signal the week of 3.30.09 at $115.99. My first stop was $84.39, so my risk (R)/share was $31.60. Closed Friday at $585.57 with a $467.11 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $495.15. The percentage gain on this trade is 404.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is $469.58/$31.60 = 14.86.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$195.11/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$12.10/share avg.
Average Trade: +269.6% | +$143.31/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +10.94