Sunday, October 21, 2012

Precision Castparts (PCP)

BUY signal the week of 9.13.10 at $126.68. My first stop was $103.19, so my risk (R)/share was $23.49. Closed Friday at $165.68 with a $160.05 stop. My new stop for this week is $159.78. The percentage gain on this trade is +30.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$39.00/$23.49 = +1.66.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$57.35/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +206.2% | +$57.35/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +13.20

Mosaic (MOS)

BUY signal the week of 7.16.12 at $57.50. My first stop was $47.08, so my risk (R)/share was $10.42. Closed Friday at $53.97 with a $51.69 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $52.11. The percentage loss on this trade is -6.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$3.53/$10.42 = -0.34.

History (beginning in 2004):
Winning Trades: 3 | 60.0% | +$31.75/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 40.0% | -$2.58/share avg.
Average Trade: +103.6% | +$18.02/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.26

Mastercard (MA)

BUY signal the week of 10.18.10 at $242.64. My first stop was $202.75, so my risk (R)/share was $39.89. Closed Friday at $470.06 with a $417.69 stop. My new stop for this week is $418.13. The percentage gain on this trade is +93.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$227.42/$39.89 = +5.70.

History (beginning in 2006):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$92.30/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$35.79/share avg.
Average Trade: +49.6% | +$66.68/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.52

Citrix Systems (CTXS)

BUY signal the week of 10.24.11 at $73.37. My first stop was $49.74, so my risk (R)/share was $23.63. Stopped out the week of 10.8.12 at $67.70,  a little below my $69.64 stop. The percentage loss on this trade was -7.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was -$5.67/$23.63 = -0.24.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$13.52/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$5.67/share avg.
Average Trade: +42.1% | +$9.68/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.62

Salesforce.com (CRM)

BUY signal the week of 2.21.12 at $143.64. My first stop was $108.52, so my risk (R)/share was $35.12. Closed Friday at $149.01 with a $129.51 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $130.68. The percentage gain on this trade is +3.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$5.37/$35.12 = +0.15.

History (beginning in 2004):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$27.40/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$0.67/share avg.
Average Trade: +64.0% | +$21.79/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.85

CF Industries (CF)

BUY signal the week of 1.9.12 at $172.55. My first stop was $125.48, so my risk (R)/share was $47.07. Closed Friday at $206.68 with a $188.34 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $188.54. The percentage gain on this trade is +19.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$34.13/$47.07 = +0.73.

History (beginning in 2005):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$39.58/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +122.5% | +$39.58/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.98

Apple (AAPL)

For the first time since March 2009 I do not own any shares of Apple.

Honestly, it's a very weird feeling.

BUY signal the week of 3.30.09 at $115.99. My first stop was $84.39, so my risk (R)/share was $31.60. Stopped out Friday at $609.84, way below last week's $617.74 stop. The percentage gain on this trade was +425.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was +$493.85/$31.60 = +15.63.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$203.20/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$12.10/share avg.
Average Trade: +274.8% | +$149.38/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +11.14