Sunday, August 12, 2012

Precision Castparts (PCP)

BUY signal the week of 9.13.10 at $126.68. My first stop was $103.19, so my risk (R)/share was $23.49. Closed Friday at $161.61 with a $154.03 stop. My new stop for this week is $154.46. The percentage gain on this trade is +27.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$34.93/$23.49 = +1.49.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$55.99/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +205.2% | +$55.99/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +13.15

Mosaic (MOS)

BUY signal the week of 7.16.12 at $57.50. My first stop was $47.08, so my risk (R)/share was $10.42. Closed Friday at $58.51 with a $48.92 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $49.21. The percentage gain on this trade is +1.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$1.01/$10.42 = +0.10.

History (beginning in 2004):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$24.06/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$1.63/share avg.
Average Trade: +105.2% | +$18.92/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.35

Mastercard (MA)

BUY signal the week of 10.18.10 at $242.64. My first stop was $202.75, so my risk (R)/share was $39.89. Closed Friday at $426.03 with a $380.99 stop. My new stop for this week is $385.64. The percentage gain on this trade is +75.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$183.39/$39.89 = +4.60.

History (beginning in 2006):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$81.29/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$35.79/share avg.
Average Trade: +45.9% | +$57.87/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.30

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)

BUY signal the week of 1.18.11 at $326.58. My first stop was $259.28, so my risk (R)/share was $67.30. Closed Friday at $498.58 with a $487.16 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $495.54. The percentage gain on this trade is +52.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$172.00/$67.30 = +2.56.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$132.24/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$34.90/share avg.
Average Trade: +168.0% | +$98.81/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +4.47

Citrix Systems (CTXS)

BUY signal the week of 10.24.11 at $73.37. My first stop was $49.74, so my risk (R)/share was $23.63. Closed Friday at $76.26 with a $63.60 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $64.86. The percentage gain on this trade is +3.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$2.89/$23.63 = +0.12.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 100.0% | +$11.40/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +44.4% | +$11.40/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.69

Salesforce.com (CRM)

BUY signal the week of 2.21.12 at $143.64. My first stop was $108.52, so my risk (R)/share was $35.12. Closed Friday at $139.84 with a $122.65 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $122.10. The percentage loss on this trade is -2.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$3.80/$35.12 = -0.11.

History (beginning in 2004):
Winning Trades: 3 | 60.0% | +$34.75/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 40.0% | -$2.23/share avg.
Average Trade: +62.8% | +$19.95/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.80

CF Industries (CF)

BUY signal the week of 1.9.12 at $172.55. My first stop was $125.48, so my risk (R)/share was $47.07. Closed Friday at $207.95 with a $160.91 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $164.97. The percentage gain on this trade is +20.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$35.40/$47.07 = +0.75.

History (beginning in 2005):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$39.89/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +122.6% | +$39.89/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.98

Apple (AAPL)

BUY signal the week of 3.30.09 at $115.99. My first stop was $84.39, so my risk (R)/share was $31.60. Closed Friday at $621.70 with a $546.00 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $554.35. The percentage gain on this trade is +436.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$505.71/$31.60 = +16.00.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$207.15/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$12.10/share avg.
Average Trade: +277.4% | +$152.34/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +11.23