Sunday, February 26, 2012

Cimarex Energy (XEC)

BUY signal the week of 2.13.12 at $82.78. My first stop was $61.20, so my risk (R)/share was $21.58. Closed Friday at $86.41 with a $61.20 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $65.32. The percentage gain on this trade is +4.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$3.63/$21.58 = +0.17.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$24.88/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$3.18/share avg.
Average Trade: +67.6% | +$19.26/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.55

Starbucks (SBUX)

BUY signal the week of 4.6.09 at $11.75. My first stop was $7.82, so my risk (R)/share was $3.93. Closed Friday at $48.30 with a $43.81 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $44.10. The percentage gain on this trade is +311.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$36.55/$3.93 = +9.30.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 2 | 50.0% | +$19.80/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 50.0% | -$4.31/share avg.
Average Trade: +74.0% | +$7.74/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.18

Riverbed Technology (RVBD)

BUY signal the week of 1.17.12 at $28.63. My first stop was $19.82, so my risk (R)/share was $8.81. Closed Friday at $27.82 with a $19.20 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $20.00. The percentage loss on this trade is -2.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$0.81/$8.81 = -0.09.

History (beginning in 2006):
Winning Trades: 1 | 50.0% | +$23.95/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 50.0% | -$0.81/share avg.
Average Trade: +148.6% | +$11.57/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.64

Rackspace Hosting (RAX)

BUY signal the week of 12.5.11 at $44.02. My first stop was $32.97, so my risk (R)/share was $11.05. Closed Friday at $53.48 with a $41.14 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $42.06. The percentage gain on this trade is +21.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$9.46/$11.05 = +0.86.

History (beginning in 2008):
Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$9.86/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +59.7% | +$9.86/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.83

Precision Castparts (PCP)

BUY signal the week of 9.13.10 at $126.68. My first stop was $103.19, so my risk (R)/share was $23.49. Closed Friday at $168.77 with a $150.25 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $151.88. The percentage gain on this trade is +33.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$42.09/$23.49 = +1.79.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$58.38/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +207.1% | +$58.38/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +13.25

Priceline (PCLN)

BUY signal the week of 2.13.12 at $582.52. My first stop was $483.98, so my risk (R)/share was $98.54. Closed Friday at $590.41 with a $483.98 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $498.85. The percentage gain on this trade is +1.4%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$7.89/$98.54 = +0.08.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 71.4% | +$70.16/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 28.6% | -$5.52/share avg.
Average Trade: +72.8% | +$48.54/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.44

OpenTable (OPEN)

BUY signal the week of 1.30.12 at $52.00. My first stop was $35.77, so my risk (R)/share was $16.23. Closed Friday at $48.89 with a $34.04 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $34.96. The percentage loss on this trade is -6.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$3.11/$23.63 = -0.19.

History (beginning in 2009):
Winning Trades: 1 | 50.0% | +$48.30/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 50.0% | -$3.11/share avg.
Average Trade: +74.7% | +$22.60/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.16