In the General Merchandise Stores industry of the Consumer Goods sector is...
...either Dollar General (DG) or Dollar Tree (DLTR).
You see, if we rank the stocks using the Sortino Ratio...
...Dollar General comes out on top.
But if we rank them by Omega Ratio...
...then Dollar Tree is the winner.
How are we going to break the tie?
Let's see what happens when we rank them by Upside Potential Ratio:
It looks like Dollar General is the best bang for your buck in the General Merchandise Stores industry after all.
Just as a side note: my Downside Deviation % calculations differ between the Sortino and Upside Potential Ratios because the Upside Potential Ratio takes the Upside (>0.22% required weekly return) and Downside (<0.22% required weekly return) Deviation %'s and multiplies them by their respective probabilities.
Sortino uses the full Downside Deviation % (all returns below the required +0.22% weekly return).
Disclaimer: I do not own any of the stocks mentioned in this post nor do I intend to open any positions in any of these stocks in the next 72 hours.
...either Dollar General (DG) or Dollar Tree (DLTR).
You see, if we rank the stocks using the Sortino Ratio...
Rank | Symbol | Company | Average Weekly Excess Return % | Downside Deviation % | Sortino Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DG | Dollar General | +0.28% | 1.73% | +0.1603 |
2 | DLTR | Dollar Tree | +0.34% | 2.80% | +0.1218 |
3 | FDO | Family Dollar Stores | +0.15% | 2.74% | +0.0538 |
4 | TGT | Target Corp. | -0.07% | 1.66% | -0.0408 |
5 | KSS | Kohl's Corp. | -0.34% | 2.12% | -0.1606 |
...Dollar General comes out on top.
But if we rank them by Omega Ratio...
Rank | Symbol | Company | Cumulative Gains % | Cumulative Losses % | Omega Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DLTR | Dollar Tree | 607.38% | -470.63% | 1.29 |
2 | DG | Dollar General | 198.56% | -158.59% | 1.25 |
3 | FDO | Family Dollar Stores | 439.77% | -395.86% | 1.11 |
4 | TGT | Target Corp. | 325.82% | -350.26% | 0.93 |
5 | KSS | Kohl's Corp. | 275.55% | -370.33% | 0.74 |
...then Dollar Tree is the winner.
How are we going to break the tie?
Let's see what happens when we rank them by Upside Potential Ratio:
Rank | Symbol | Company | Upside Deviation % | Downside Deviation % | Upside Potential Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DG | Dollar General | 1.38% | 1.98% | 0.6979 |
2 | DLTR | Dollar Tree | 1.51% | 2.59% | 0.5852 |
3 | FDO | Family Dollar Stores | 1.48% | 2.69% | 0.5476 |
4 | TGT | Target Corp. | 0.90% | 1.80% | 0.5026 |
5 | KSS | Kohl's Corp. | 0.99% | 2.38% | 0.4167 |
It looks like Dollar General is the best bang for your buck in the General Merchandise Stores industry after all.
Just as a side note: my Downside Deviation % calculations differ between the Sortino and Upside Potential Ratios because the Upside Potential Ratio takes the Upside (>0.22% required weekly return) and Downside (<0.22% required weekly return) Deviation %'s and multiplies them by their respective probabilities.
Sortino uses the full Downside Deviation % (all returns below the required +0.22% weekly return).
Disclaimer: I do not own any of the stocks mentioned in this post nor do I intend to open any positions in any of these stocks in the next 72 hours.
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