Sunday, April 1, 2012

CME Group (CME)

BUY signal the week of 2.6.12 at $291.59. My first stop was $234.34, so my risk (R)/share was $57.25. Closed Friday at $289.33 with a $243.23 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $245.30. The percentage loss on this trade is -0.8%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$2.26/$57.25 = -0.04.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 71.4% | +$82.42/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 28.6% | -$34.38/share avg.
Average Trade: +38.4% | +$49.05/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.00

CF Industries (CF)

BUY signal the week of 1.9.12 at $172.55. My first stop was $125.48, so my risk (R)/share was $47.07. Closed Friday at $182.65 with a $149.52 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $148.18. The percentage gain on this trade is +5.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$10.10/$47.07 = +0.21.

History (beginning in 2005):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$33.57/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +119.0% | +$33.57/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.85

Caterpillar (CAT)

BUY signal the week of 1.3.12 at $95.76. My first stop was $75.13, so my risk (R)/share was $20.63. Closed Friday at $106.52 with a $97.39 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $97.38. The percentage gain on this trade is +11.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$10.76/$20.63 = +0.52.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 6 | 85.7% | +$16.91/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 14.3% | -$6.62/share avg.
Average Trade: +37.3% | +$13.55/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.47

Boeing (BA)

BUY signal the week of 12.19.11 at $73.97. My first stop was $59.80, so my risk (R)/share was $14.17. Closed Friday at $74.37 with a $68.77 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $68.85. The percentage gain on this trade is +0.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$0.40/$14.17 = +0.03.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$14.70/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +42.4% | +$14.70/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.02

Aruba Networks (ARUN)

BUY signal the week of 1.30.12 at $23.86. My first stop was $16.44, so my risk (R)/share was $7.42. Closed Friday at $22.28 with a $17.65 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $17.31. The percentage loss on this trade is -6.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is -$1.58/$7.42 = -0.21.

History (beginning in 2007):
Winning Trades: 1 | 33.3% | +$19.68/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 66.7% | -$1.90/share avg.
Average Trade: +145.1% | +$5.29/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.27

Akamai Technologies (AKAM)

BUY signal the week of 10.31.11 at $29.82. My first stop was $19.72, so my risk (R)/share was $10.10. Closed Friday at $36.70 with a $32.00 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $32.18. The percentage gain on this trade is +23.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$6.88/$10.10 = +0.68.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 66.7% | +$16.44/share avg.
Losing Trades: 2 | 33.3% | -$8.90/share avg.
Average Trade: +119.7% | +$7.99/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +3.59

Apple (AAPL)

BUY signal the week of 3.30.09 at $115.99. My first stop was $84.39, so my risk (R)/share was $31.60. Closed Friday at $599.55 with a $508.23 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $513.05. The percentage gain on this trade is +416.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$483.56/$31.60 = +15.30.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$199.77/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$12.10/share avg.
Average Trade: +272.6% | +$146.80/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +11.05