Monday, September 3, 2012

Precision Castparts (PCP)

BUY signal the week of 9.13.10 at $126.68. My first stop was $103.19, so my risk (R)/share was $23.49. Closed Friday at $161.08 with a $156.12 stop. My new stop for this week is $156.84. The percentage gain on this trade is +27.2%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$34.40/$23.49 = +1.46.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 100.0% | +$55.82/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +205.0% | +$55.82/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +13.14

Mosaic (MOS)

BUY signal the week of 7.16.12 at $57.50. My first stop was $47.08, so my risk (R)/share was $10.42. Closed Friday at $57.91 with a $50.30 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $50.85. The percentage gain on this trade is +0.7%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$0.41/$10.42 = +0.04.

History (beginning in 2004):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$23.91/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$1.63/share avg.
Average Trade: +105.0% | +$18.80/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.34

Mastercard (MA)

BUY signal the week of 10.18.10 at $242.64. My first stop was $202.75, so my risk (R)/share was $39.89. Closed Friday at $422.90 with a $395.04 stop. My new stop for this week is $400.78. The percentage gain on this trade is +74.3%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$180.26/$39.89 = +4.52.

History (beginning in 2006):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$80.51/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$35.79/share avg.
Average Trade: +45.7% | +$57.25/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +2.29

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)

BUY signal the week of 1.18.11 at $326.58. My first stop was $259.28, so my risk (R)/share was $67.30. Closed Friday at $491.79, well below my $505.22 stop. The percentage gain on this trade was +50.6%, and the reward-to-risk ratio was +$165.21/$67.30 = +2.45.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$130.54/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$34.90/share avg.
Average Trade: +167.6% | +$97.45/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +4.45

Citrix Systems (CTXS)

BUY signal the week of 10.24.11 at $73.37. My first stop was $49.74, so my risk (R)/share was $23.63. Closed Friday at $77.69 with a $67.99 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $69.42. The percentage gain on this trade is +5.9%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$4.32/$23.63 = +0.18.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 5 | 100.0% | +$11.68/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +44.8% | +$11.68/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.70

Salesforce.com (CRM)

BUY signal the week of 2.21.12 at $143.64. My first stop was $108.52, so my risk (R)/share was $35.12. Closed Friday at $145.18 with a $124.51 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $125.27. The percentage gain on this trade is +1.1%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$1.54/$35.12 = +0.04.

History (beginning in 2004):
Winning Trades: 4 | 80.0% | +$26.45/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 20.0% | -$0.67/share avg.
Average Trade: +63.5% | +$21.02/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +1.83

CF Industries (CF)

BUY signal the week of 1.9.12 at $172.55. My first stop was $125.48, so my risk (R)/share was $47.07. Closed Friday at $207.01 with a $175.69 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $179.04. The percentage gain on this trade is +20.0%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$34.46/$47.07 = +0.73.

History (beginning in 2005):
Winning Trades: 4 | 100.0% | +$39.66/share avg.
Losing Trades: 0 | 0.0% | -$0.00/share avg.
Average Trade: +122.5% | +$39.66/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +6.98

Apple (AAPL)

BUY signal the week of 3.30.09 at $115.99. My first stop was $84.39, so my risk (R)/share was $31.60. Closed Friday at $665.24 with a $583.74 stop. My new stop for the coming week is $586.99. The percentage gain on this trade is +473.5%, and the reward-to-risk ratio is +$549.25/$31.60 = +17.38.

History (beginning in 2003):
Winning Trades: 3 | 75.0% | +$221.67/share avg.
Losing Trades: 1 | 25.0% | -$12.10/share avg.
Average Trade: +286.7% | +$163.23/share | Reward-to-Risk (R): +11.57